DEVELOPMENT OF STATISTICAL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTBREAK OF HAEMORRHAGIC SEPTICAEMIA AMONG RUMINANTS IN KARNATAKA

dc.contributor.advisorMALLIKARJUN B. HANJI
dc.contributor.authorVINAY, P.
dc.date.accessioned2020-10-05T07:17:04Z
dc.date.available2020-10-05T07:17:04Z
dc.date.issued2019-08-24
dc.description.abstractIndia occupies the first position in the world’s Buffalo population and it stands second in the world Cattle and Sheep Population as per 19th Livestock Census. These Animal suffers from different kinds of infectious diseases, among which Haemorrhagic Septicaemia is lethal, which is caused by the bacteria called Pasteurella multocida. To develop a statistical model to forewarn the outbreak of Haemorrhagic Septicaemia and to identify the significant risk factors, the data on the outbreak of Haemorrhagic Septicaemia (HS) in all districts of Karnataka for the period from 2006 to 2017 was obtained from the Department of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Services, Government of Karnataka. Zero Inflated Poisson model was found to perform better when compared Poisson, Negative Binomial and Zero Inflated Negative Binomial models with the lowest AIC value of 3260.991 and Pearson Chi-square value of 1.0028. The same model was used to identify the significant risk factors in the outbreak of Haemorrhagic Septicaemia and it was found that Land Surface Temperature, Air Temperature, Potential evapotranspiration Rainfall and Soil Moisture was found to have significant impact in the disease outbreak. Risk areas for the disease outbreak were identified based on the Standardized Mortality Rate which takes into account the bovine population of each district and it showed that Belgaum district of Karnataka was found to have a very high risk followed by Hassan and Shimoga with high risk of disease outbreaken_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://krishikosh.egranth.ac.in/handle/1/5810152369
dc.keywordsStandardized Mortality Rate, Haemorrhagic, Septicaemia outbreak .en_US
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.pages102en_US
dc.publisherUNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, GKVK BENGALURUen_US
dc.subAgricultural Statistics and Informaticsen_US
dc.themeSTATISTICAL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTBREAK OF HAEMORRHAGIC SEPTICAEMIA AMONG RUMINANTSen_US
dc.these.typeM.Scen_US
dc.titleDEVELOPMENT OF STATISTICAL MODEL FOR PREDICTING OUTBREAK OF HAEMORRHAGIC SEPTICAEMIA AMONG RUMINANTS IN KARNATAKAen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
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