A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF ARRIVALS AND PRICES OF TOMATO IN MAJOR MARKETS OF KARNATAKA
| dc.contributor.advisor | Gopinath Rao, M. | |
| dc.contributor.author | GOVINDARAJU, H. S. | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2020-10-07T03:40:04Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2020-10-07T03:40:04Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2019-09-11 | |
| dc.description.abstract | Analysis of agricultural commodity price and market arrivals over time is important to know the fluctuations. It helps to formulate appropriate ways and means for reducing price fluctuations. Hence, trends in arrivals and prices of tomato were studied in selected markets viz., Bengaluru-Urban, Chikkaballapura, Chinthamani, Kolar and Srinivasapura of Karnataka. The secondary monthly data pertaining to arrivals and prices of tomato in the above mentioned five markets was collected from Krishimaratavahini website for the period of 11 years i.e. from 2008 to 2018. Linear and Nonlinear models were used to analyze the trends in arrivals and prices of tomato. The co-integration between markets was analyzed using Johansen’s co-integration test and the pairwise causality between markets was analyzed using Granger causality test. Different forecasting models like Holt’s-Winter Exponential smoothing model and SARIMA models were considered to forecast and to measure the forecast accuracy among different selected models. Trend analysis carried out for arrivals and prices of tomato in different markets revealed that the different trend lines were suitable for different markets. In case of arrivals, quadratic (Bengaluru-Urban & Kolar), exponential (Chikkaballapura & Chinthamani) and cubic (Srinivasapura) models were found to be the best fitted lines. In case of market prices, power (Bengaluru-Urban, Chikkaballapura & Chinthamani) and cubic (Kolar & Srinivasapura) models were fitted best with lower RMSE and higher R2 values. Market co-integration analysis revealed that all the five selected markets were co-integrated and pair-wise co-integration exist between the markets. Different SARIMA models were found suitable for forecasting for different markets. | en_US |
| dc.identifier.other | Th-12477 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://krishikosh.egranth.ac.in/handle/1/5810152643 | |
| dc.keywords | Tomato, Markets, Karnataka | en_US |
| dc.language.iso | English | en_US |
| dc.pages | 127 | en_US |
| dc.publisher | UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES GKVK, BENGALURU | en_US |
| dc.sub | Agricultural Statistics and Informatics | en_US |
| dc.theme | MAJOR MARKETS OF KARNATAKA | en_US |
| dc.these.type | M.Sc | en_US |
| dc.title | A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF ARRIVALS AND PRICES OF TOMATO IN MAJOR MARKETS OF KARNATAKA | en_US |
| dc.type | Thesis | en_US |