PRODUCTION, PRICE BEHAVIOUR AND EXPORT OF GROUNDNUT IN INDIA WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO GUJARAT STATE -AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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Date
2005-06-22
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University of Agricultural Sciences GKVK, Banglore
Abstract
PRODUCTION. PRICE BEHAVIOUR AND EXPORT OF GROUNDNUT IN INDIA
WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO GUJARAT STATE
-AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
RAMESH. B. LAKHANA
ABSTRACT
Dr. G. K. HIREMATH
Major Advisor
The Gujarat state ranks first in area and fourth in production with
1.8 million ha. area and 1.5 million tones of groundnut production,
respectively. The study highlighted on growth rates in area, production
and yield, cost and returns, seasonality arrivals and prices and also
growth rate and direction of export of Indian groundnut.
Various statistical techniques viz., exponential growth functions,
markov chain analysis, orthogonal polynomial regression, moving averages
and correlation analysis were employed to analyse the data to fulfill the
objectives.
During Pre-TMO period, growth rate in area was found to be
positive and significant whereas, that of yield was negative. During post-
TMO period, growth rates of area and yield were positive. It was mainly
area led growth in groundnut costs and returns analysis revealed that
groundnut was profitable in both Rajkot and Junagadh districts with net
returns as Rs. 8859.04 and Rs. 4853.64, respectively. Growth rate of
groundnut export was found to be positive for almost all the countries
except U.K. and Others. Transitional probability Matrix showed that the
Indian groundnut export is concentrated in Asian markets only. Malaysia
and Indonesia were found to be loyal for Indian groundnut. A continuous
upward trend was observed in prices, while arrivals exhibited upward and
downward trend. Higher market arrivals and lower prices were observed
immediately after harvest of the crop. There was a strong integration
among the selected markets.
It was concluded that production and export of groundnut could be
improved by judicious use of available water, maintaining international
quality standards and proper ware housing facilities linked with credit
facilities.
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