TRENDS IN AREA,PRODUCTION AND PRODUCTIVITY OF MAIZE—AN INTER—DISTRICT ANALYSIS IN TELANGANA REGION OF ANDHRA PRADESH
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Date
2001
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Professor Jayashankar Telangana State Agricultural University
Abstract
The present study entitled “Trends in area, production andproductivity ofmaize —Aninter-district analysis in Telangana region of AndhraPradesh”hasbeenattempted‘rtoexaminetheinter-districtdisparities ofarea,productionandproductivityofmaizeandshorttermprojectionsfrom 1999-2000to2008-2009andlongtermprojectionsfrom2009-2010to2013-. 2014,withaviewtoprovidecertainguidelinesforpolicyimplicationswhich wouldbringbalancedagriculturaldevelopment. The investigation was carried out for all the districts of TelanganaregionandforthestateofAndhraPradeshasawhole. Anattempt hadalsobeenmadetoassessthegrowthinarea,productionandproductivity ofmaize. Sevenformulaeviz.,fivelinearandtwomultipleregressionmodels wereattempted. Outofthesesevenmodels, fivemodelswereusedforshort term projections. Formulaehaving maximum R2 values were used for projectionpurpose. Outofthesemodels,exponentialfunctionwasusedfor longtermprojectionsandthemultipleregressionmodelinvolvingstandard deviationsofmaizepricesasonevariablewasusedforshorttermprojections asithashighR2value.
Thesecondarydatawascollectedandanalysedfortheperiodof44 years coveringfrom 1955-56 to 1998-99. Almost all the districts of TelanganaregionofAndhraPradeshandalsothestateofAndhraPradeshasa wholeshowedpositivegrowthinarea,productionandproductivity. Shorttermprojectionsofarea,productionandproductivityofmaize in most ofthe diStricts had shown decreasing trend because they dependsuponlaggedvaluesandpricevariationsbutlongtermprojections showedanincreasingtendency.
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D6314