BUFFALO POPULATION AND PRODUCTIVITY IN TAMIL NADU: TRENDS AND IMPLICATIONS
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Date
2018
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Abstract
The present study was conducted to assess the growth dimension of buffalo population, production and productivity of buffalo milk, prediction and forecasting of buffalo milk production and to identify the constraints perceived by the buffalo farmers in the study area. Point to point and continuous annual compound growth rates (ACGR) were calculated to assess the trend in buffalo population, production and productivity respectively. The ACGR of buffalo population in Tamil Nadu was -17.23 per cent during the last inter-census period (2007-12), where North Eastern and Cauvery Delta zone had registered a high negative growth rate and all the districts except Coimbatore and Tiruppur combined (7.99 per cent), Kanyakumari (3.31 per cent) and The Nilgiris (30.10 per cent) recorded a negative growth rate. Among the agro-climatic zones, Southern zone showed the highest negative growth (-27.37 per cent) in buffalo milk production during the period 2011-12 to 2015-16, while Perambalur district registered the highest negative growth (-50.80 per cent) among the districts in the same period. The growth rate of buffalo milk productivity from 2011-12 to 2015-16 was 2.51 per cent (in milk) and -0.97 per cent (in milch) in Tamil Nadu. For prediction and forecasting of buffalo milk production in Tamil Nadu, the best fitted model was ARIMA (0, 1, 0) model. Based on the ARIMA (0, 1, 0) model, it could be predicted that the milk production would decrease from 778.98 tonnes in 2011-12 to 11.66 tonnes in 2019-20 in Tamil Nadu and would be meager thereafter.
Description
TNV_TH_MVM 16013_2018
Keywords
Veterinary Science