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ThesisItem Open Access Commodity futures - A study of online trading in rubber(Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co operation and Management, Vellanikkara, 2007) Anu, S Nair; KAU; Padmini, E V KThe present study entitled “COMMODITY FUTURES A STUDY OF ONLINE TRADING IN RUBBER” was conducted with the following objectives. 1) To examine the price movements of rubber futures through National Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (NMCE). 2) To assess the impact of futures trading on farming decisions of rubber farmers; and 3) To identify the determinants of online trading by rubber farmers. Primary and secondary data have been used for the study. Daily data of rubber futures in NMCE and the corresponding spot prices were collected from the website of NMCE. The data regarding the area production, yield, export, import, major producing countries and major consuming countries were collected from the souvenir of publications of Rubber Board, Economic Survey and website of tire review. Primary data to analyse the impact of futures trading and to identify the determinants were collected using a structured interview schedule. The sample respondents constituted 33 trading farmers from the districts of Kottayam, Palakkad and Thrissur and another group of 33 non-trading farmers from the district of Kottayam. The trend in area production, and yield were analysed using compound growth rate and percentage change over the previous year. The compound growth rate of area under rubber is found to be 8.2 per cent during the period 1950-51 to 2004-05. Although in absolute terms production has been increasing, there has been a decreasing trend since 1999-2000 till 2001-02. The compound growth rate of production comes to 16.36 per cent. The productivity of natural rubber recorded a continuous growth over the period except in 1999-2000 to 2001-02. The compound growth rate for yield works out to 7.47 per cent. A look into the global natural rubber scenario revealed that Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia are the leading producers and they together constitute about 77 per cent of the global production. India is the fourth largest producer and consumer of natural rubber. China tops the list of consuming countries. The major exporters are Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia and the major importers are China, USA and Japan. The analysis of the commodity derivatives market in India revealed that out of the three National Commodity Exchanges, National Multi Commodity exchange is the first exchange. All these three exchanges are multi commodity exchanges. The commodity exchanges are regulated by forward markets commission which is coming under the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, food and nutrition. To analyse the objective of examining the price movements of rubber futures through NMCE the co-integration technique is used. The results revealed that the futures prices of two months prior to delivery (F2) one month prior to delivery (F1) and delivery month (F0) are efficient in predicting the spot prices of rubber and prediction using futures price three months prior to delivery (F3) is not effective. The impact of futures trading on the farm management practices of the rubber farmers were analysed using simple percentages and averages. The study revealed that there is no change in any of the activity undertaken by the rubber farmers before and after commencement of futures trading. The non-trading farmers are enjoying the economics of large scale operations. Also the only positive change of the futures trading is their awareness about the storing facilities available at Central Warehousing Corporation eventhough they are not using that facility. The influence of private traders in marketing the product is as high as Rubber co-operative Marketing Society and Rubber Producers Society. No exploitation was faced by any of the farmers as they are educated farming community having better bargaining power. The futures trading could not make a considerable impact on the farming decisions of rubber farmers because they are not at all interested in delivery and so they are least bothered about the underlying asset. They consider futures trading as an avenue for speculation where they can bet on the price movements. For identifying the determinants of online trading by rubber farmers, Kendall’s coefficient of concordance was applied. Accessibility to trading terminal, awareness creation and computer literacy were found the most important determinants of futures trading. There are some differences in the ranks assigned by trading and non-trading members. Availability of warehousing facility, procedure formalities and speculative nature were found least important determinants. Starting of terminal outlets in remote areas, extensive campaign for awareness creation about futures trading and computer education to remove the aversion towards screen based trading will attract move number of participants to futures trading. Compulsory delivery of the underlying asset is to be enforced by the regulatory authorities to make the real farmers the beneficiaries of futures trading and thereby ensuring a remunerative price.ThesisItem Open Access Loan recovery management in primary co-operative agricultural and rural development banks in Kerala(Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2004) Renjitha, N T; KAU; Lizy, M AThe study entitled "Loan Recovery Management in Primary Co-operative Agricultural and Rural Development Banks in Kerala" was conducted to examine the effectiveness of the existing loan recovery management of Primary Co-operative Agricultural and Rural Development Banks in Kerala and to identify the factors influencing recovery. The study was conducted among four PCARDBs of Ernakulam and Thrissur district viz., Kanayannur CARDB (B 1), Ernakulam CARDB (B2), Cochin CARDB (B3) and Irinjalakuda CARDB (B4). The sample size included 80 respondents i.e., 20 borrowers from each bank at random, of which 15 were defaulters and five were non-defaulters or prompt repayers. Ten officials (including secretaries and BODs) from each bank were also interviewed to collect information on the effectiveness of the loan recovery system of the banks. Secondary data on selected performance indicators of the banks were also used for the study. Statistical tools like AAGR, simple averages, percentages, simple growth rate, simple correlation, efficiency index, priority index and bi-variate tables were used for the analysis. The analysis on the overdue amount of the selected PCARDBs, revealed that Cochin CARDB (B3) had the highest amount of overdues among all the banks, , during the reference period. Profits of all banks have eroded due to provisronmg for accumulated overdues. B4 has shown the best performance in terms of lower overdues and higher profitswhen compared to the other banks. An increase in the demand for nOI1- agricultural loans, particularly RHLs was found, which indicates a shift in the lending pattern. Overdues above four years were growing tremendously in all the banks. Most of the females were found to be prompt repayers. Inspite of having better education, the borrowers were creating huge overdues. This indicates the existence of wilful defaulters. The study found that the defaulters of all t11:;: banks except B4, having annual income above the subsistence level had higher am aunt of overdues, This highlights the fact that, even after having sufficient income, they were deliberately making dues as a result of the inefficient loan recovery management of the bank. The study revealed that procedural delays, lack of adequate securities to hypothecate, misutilisation of loans and inadequate income restricted the borrowers from getting timely loans. It was further observed that defective loaning policy, conspicuous consumption, and illness of family members as well as hope for 10a11 write-off policy were the other reasons behind non-repayment by borrowers. Misutilisation of loan amount was least in B4, which indicates the presence of effective supervision and monitoring mechanism in the bank. Loan amount was mainly diverted for meeting ceremonial expenses, consumption needs and educational expenses of children. The most serious problem in obtaining loam was revealed to be the procedural delay. From the inter-bank comparison on the effectiveness of the present loan recovery management system, it was found that B4 showed an outstanding performance in this regard, whereas B3 revealed to be the least efficient bank. According to the officials and employees of the banks, the reasons for poor recovery included lack of modern management techniques, lack of adequate staff training programmes, lack of infrastructural facilities and inefficiency of the legal machinery for recovering dues from borrowers. As a remedial measure to minimise overdues, coercive action against wilful defaulters and incentives for proper repayment must come into effect. For checking the rising trend of over dues in future, an effective loan appraisal as well as loan monitoring cell managed by professionals has to be established in each bank. The banks must put into effect the SARF AESI Ad, 2002 in order to bring a solution to the problem of overdues. The banks must therefore perceive that prolonged existence of this disease is not beneficial to the organisation and a strong mechanism to check this menace has to be created.ThesisItem Open Access Comparative analysis of the performance of Kerala based banks(Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation, Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 2002) Devika Mangsatabam; KAU; Molly JosephThe study entitled "A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF THE PERFORMANCE OF KERALA BASED BANKS" was conducted with the following objectives . . i) To analyse the performance of Kerala based public, private and co-operative sector banks. ii) To compare the relative efficiency of these banks and iii) To examine the role of these banks in agricultural lending. The study was conducted in six out of the 10 Kerala based banks comprising of the State Bank of Tranvancore (SBT) and South Malabar Gramin Bank (SMBG) in the public sector, South Indian Bank (SIB), Dhanalakshmi Bank (DB) and Catholic Syrian Bank (CSB) in the private sector, and Kerala State Co- operative Bank (KSCB) in the co-operative sector. The study was conducted for a period of six years from 1994-95 to 1999-00 using mainly secondary data made available from the Annual Reports of the banks concerned. The first and second objectives of analysing the performance of Kerala based public private and co-operative sector banks and comparison of the relative efficiency of these banks have been done by using three models viz., Return On Equity (ROE) Decomposition Analysis, Weighted Productivity Index and Market Share Concept. For -- assessing the efficiency of each bank using the Market Share Concept, data were collected from all the 10 banks. Data pertaining to agricultural lending were also collected from the concerned banks' head office for analysing the third objective. Based on the above indicators, individual performance of the banks were assessed and a Composite Index was developed to rank these banks. The study has revealed that CD ratio has been declining for all the Kerala based banks except SMGB. For all these banks, the rate of increase in advances has not been as high as that of deposits which might be due to diversion of deposits by banks like investment in government and other approved securities, shares and debentures. The analysis of the profitability and productivity of Kerala based banks on the basis of ROE Decomposition Analysis has revealed that KSCB'is the only bank which could not achieve the 16-20 per cent internationally accepted ROE and one per cent ROA. SMGB has performed well showing a continuous increase in ROE and ROA except in 1996-97 when these values were negative due to implementation of NPA norms. When compared to the national average, it was found that the performance of all the Kerala based banks except KSCB was better with respect to the three indicators viz., ROE, ROA and Equity Multiplier (EM). The Profit Margin (PM) of the Kerala based banks except for SMGB has been lower than the industry average which might be due to the fact that their income has been adversely affected by the high interest expended on deposits. The study has also revealed that interest expended on deposits for SMGB has been very low when compared to the other Kerala. based banks since the Bank had other sources of funds like refinance from sponsoring bank and other institutions. The percentage share of Provisions and Contingencies (P&C) to the total revenue has been found to be very low in the case of KSCB and S.rvlGB pointing to the lower NPAs in these two banks. Among the Kerala based banks, only SMGB could achieve the internationally accepted criteria of having a Net Interest Margin (NIM) of three per cent and above. However, the burden of this particular bank has been observed to be very high since its non-interest income is negligible. Analysis based on the Weighted Productivity Index (WPi) has revealed that KSCB achieved the highest performance in Employee Productivity (EPi), while SMGB had the lowest I Employee Productivity (EPi). The low staff productivity of SMGB might be due to drastic increase in wage bill as the implementation of the Award of the National Industrial Tribunal (NIT) gave pay parity in RRBs. The high Capital Productivity (CPi) of SMGB may be attributed to an increase in interest income and reduction in NPAs. The~e has been a general decline in CPi of the private sector banks - DB, SIB and CSB due to the higher provisioning for NP As. The market share of the branches, staff, non-deposit working funds and advances of the six Kerala based banks to the total of 10 banks has declined during the period of study. This may be attributed to the increase in the share of other Kerala based banks not included in the study like Federal Bank, Lord Krishna Bank and N edungadi Bank. The market share of SBT in branches, deposits, non- wage operating expenses and interest spread has declined consistently during the study period reflecting its declining prominence as the premier bank in the State. In the estimation of the efficiency level of Kerala based banks on Market Share Concept, it has been found that KSCB obtained the highest score followed by SBT and DB. SMGB, which had performed well in the other two models, performed the lowest as per this model. This may be attributed to the high share of branches and staff among its inputs factors. Besides fluctuation in output factors like non-interest income and the negative net profits in the 1996-97 have adversely affected its performance. Although the introduction of financial sector reforms has led to decline in priority sector lending in general, the liberalisation of the term 'priority sector' since 1997 has enabled banks to achieve the target of 40 per cent. The actual disbursement of credit to priority by Kerala based banks has never crossed the target of 40 per cent except in the case of SMGB. SMGB is the only bank, which has been increasing its percentage share of lending to the priority sector and agriculture in spite of its increased lending to the Non-Target Group over the years. The computation of the Composite Index to assess the overall performance of Kerala based banks has revealed that SMGB obtained the highest score followed by KSCB. The lower performance of SBT and private sector banks may be attributed to lower ROE, EPi, CPi, and ultimately WPi, lower efficiency based on market share and low share of agricultural advances to total advances. ~ThesisItem Open Access Savings and investment behaviour of rubber cultivators - a micro level analysis(Department of Rural Banking and Finance Management, College of Co-operation Banking and Management, Vellanikkara, 1998) Abhilash, T Gopal; KAU; Padmini, E V KThe study entitled ‘Savings and Investment Behaviour of Rubber Cultivators- A Micro Level Analysis’ was conducted with the following objectives. To analyse the extent and pattern of savings and investment of rubber cultivators. To examine the factors influencing their savings and investment decisions. The study was confined to the rubber cultivators in Meenachil taluk of Kottayam district. The study period was Sep.1996 to Aug. 1997. The sample frame comprised 150 respondents and the respondents were classified into three groups based on their size of holdings. The groups are S1-below 1 hectare (ha), S2 between 1ha and 2ha and S3 between 2ha and 5 ha. The data collected from 150 respondents were tabulated and analysed. The study revealed that the extent of savings was highest for group S3 followed by group S1 and S2. The results indicate that the cultivation of rubber was the major source of income (almost 75 per cent of total income) in all the three cultivator groups considered for the study. Hence the size of rubber cultivation was the major income side determinant of extent of savings among the sample households. However the rate of savings showed a different pattern. The average propensity to save is lowest in group S2 (23 per cent) and is highest in group S3 (36 per cent) closely followed by group S1 (34 per cent). Though the total amount of expenditure is highest in groupS3, its extent and rate of savings are highest as it has managed a very high amount of net income. Despite having the lowest extent of net income the group S1 has achieved an appreciable rate of savings by controlling their total expenditure. From the responses of the cultivators five items viz. education of the children, ceremonies, putting up houses, saving for emergencies and bequeathing assets to spouses and children were emerged as the principal motivations for saving. The savings was mainly disposed in the form of investments in financial assets. The other major form of disposition of savings was investments in nonincome generating assets like household durables and buildings. Among the financial assets bank deposit was the most preferred option of the respondents and co-operative bank deposits had an edge over others. Rate of return followed by safety and proximity were emerged as major parameters influencing the investment options in financial assets. Investment in non income generating assets was found increasing with the increase in the size of holding. Their personal use apart, status concern and demonstration effect were the prime motivations behind such investment. The study established that though the savings is mainly generated from agriculture sector, (especially from rubber cultivation) such savings are not appropriately ploughed as investment in the same sector. Instead the savings is mainly disposed either as financial assets (a low risk low return option) or as unproductive investments.