Basavaraja BanakarRamesh K.B.2016-11-112016-11-112011http://krishikosh.egranth.ac.in/handle/1/85101Silk is the queen of textiles, have endearing qualities such as natural sheen, light weight with high durability. India is the second largest producer of silk cocoon next to China. Analysis of price and market arrivals over time is important for formulating a sound price policy. Fluctuation in arrivals largely contributes to price instability. Such an analysis is also use full to farmers in order to rear silkworm and produce cocoon in the months in which they obtain best price advantages. Therefore the study under taken to assess the dynamics of market arrivals and prices. The monthly prices and arrivals of bivoltine and multivoltine silk cocoon in three major Government silk cocoon markets (i.e Ramanagara, Shidlagatta and Chintamani) were collected for period of 13 years (April 1998 to September 2010). An decreasing trend in arrivals and increasing trend in prices was observed in the selected markets, but the quantum of decrease in arrivals and increase in prices varied from one market to another. The higher seasonal indices of prices were observed during May, during which the arrivals were found to be low. In the case of Multivoltine and Bivoltine silk cocoon arrivals and prices, the average duration of cycle was found to be once in 2.33 to 4.00 years and 3.00 to 3.33 years respectively. Response of silk cocoon arrivals on prices in all the markets showed positive relationship, which implied that, as a arrivals of silk cocoon increased the prices also to a small extent. ARIMA analysis was employed to quantify the variation in prices and also forecast the prices for the next 24 months. The forecasted prices in all the markets showed an increasing value. Analysis of zero order correlation showed that there is an existence of a strong integration among all the selected markets. Finally it was forecasted prices which serve as input in taking the marketing and production decisions.Agricultural Extension EducationThesis