TO STUDY THE SHIFT IN CROPPING PATTERN OF DIFFERENT AGRO-CLIMATIC ZONES IN ANDHRA PRADESH - A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

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Date
2024-01-10
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Acharya N G Ranga Agricultural University
Abstract
Diversification in agriculture refers to change in cropping pattern or the expansion of non-farming activities such as poultry farming, aquaculture, animal husbandry, etc. Andhra Pradesh is endowed with varied agro-ecological, agro-climatic, bio-diversity, soil, climatic and weather conditions, comprising of six agroclimatic zones. The data is collected on area, production and productivity of major agricultural crops during the period 2001-2020. The entire twenty years data is divided into two periods i.e., first period 2001-2010 and the second period 2011-2020. To analyze the extent of shift in cropping pattern across six agro-climatic zones of Andhra Pradesh, various statistical indices such as Herfindahl Index, Simpson Index, Entropy Index, Index of Maximum Proportion, Modified Entropy Index, Composite Entropy Index and Ogive Index were calculated for all the zones separately for the two periods 2001-2010 and 2011-2020. The results revealed that Krishna zone, Scarce Rainfall zone and Southern zone have experienced considerable cropping shift in both the periods. North coastal zone has experienced moderate crop shift for both the periods. High-Altitude zone has considerable cropping shift for first period and a moderate cropping shift for the second period of study. Godavari zone has shown crop specialization. To study the direction of changes in cropping pattern, Markov Chain Analysis was conducted for the zones with cropping shift. To analyze the factors influencing the shift in cropping pattern, 11 relatable variables were considered for the study. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was carried to reduce the dimensionality of the factors influencing the shift. The Principal components extracted maximum variability are considered as independent variables and Simpson index values are considered as dependent variable in regression analysis. Principal Component regression (PCR) was carried out for both the periods 2001-2010 and 2011-2020. The Cluster analysis was carried out based on area, production and productivity of different agricultural crops for the periods 2001-2010 and 2011-2020. For forming xiv clusters based on area, production and productivity of major agricultural crops, Hierarchical clustering with Ward’s minimum variance method was computed. The Dendrogram graphically represents the results of Hierarchal cluster analysis. The cluster formed based on area, production and productivity indicates that those crops have similarity across all the zones
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