ANALYSIS OF TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL RAINFALL OF KODAGU DISTRICT

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Date
2015-07-10
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UNIVERSITY OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES GKVK, BENGALURU
Abstract
The study aims at analysing the distribution of rainfall across Kodagu district using the weekly rainfall data of 24 rain gauges for a period of 40 years from 1972 to 2012. Rainfall data was obtained from Directorate of Economics and Statistics, Government of Karnataka. The study period was divided into four sub periods each of a decade in order to examine the temporal variation in rainfall. Analysis was also carried out over the seasons namely, pre-monsoon, South west monsoon and post monsoon. Further the probability model for wet spells was fitted. The annual rainfall of three taluks of Kodagu district shows a significant variation during all four periods of study. The distribution of rainfall across seasons indicates a shift in rainfall pattern from south west monsoon to post and pre monsoon seasons. The proportion of decline in rainfall during the south west monsoon which is offset by an increase in proportion of pre-monsoon and post monsoon rainfall indicates the temporal shift in rainfall. It can also be observed that there was a considerable temporal variation in rainfall within all the taluks during South west monsoon season. The Kendall’s coefficient of concordance on the values of Precipitation ratio indicates a significant spatial variation in rainfall of Kodagu district. On the basis of Seasonality Index, Kodagu district can be broadly classified into two rainfall regimes namely region which experience seasonal rainfall with shorter drier season and region experiencing long wet spells especially during South west monsoon. The length of the wet spells of Kodagu can be modelled by Truncated Beta Binomial distribution.
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